Duh, but it’s still strangely alluring
In another boxing vs MMA extravaganza, former middleweight belt holder Julio Cesar Chavez Jr (52-5-1-0-1NC) will face mixed martial arts legend Anderson Silva (1-1, 1KO) June 19.
Both guys are on the downside of their careers, but Chavez Jr vs Silva is still intriguing for some very strange, quirky, and inexplicable reason.
A 46-year-old mixed martial artist, past his best, who is widely regarded as the best of all time in MMA, can he beat a 35-year-old veteran boxer who is a former champion but has also seen better days? ?
Can Anderson beat Chavez Jr?
The odds say “probably not” and common sense says it’s a “good shot”. However, there always seem to be some intangibles that make some fights more interesting than they should be.
… And such is the case with Chavez Jr vs. Silva.
Chavez vs Silva odds
By Sportsbettingdime.com, Chavez is just one -250 favorites while Silva is a +190 outsider. Therefore, a successful bet of $ 100 on Chavez Jr would produce a net return of $ 40 (or $ 140) while the same winning bet on Silva would produce a net return of $ 190 (or $ 290).
Chavez vs. Silva
June 19, 2021
Jalisco Stadium, Guadalajara, Mexico
So wait, a 35 year old guy with 59 pro boxing fights is just a -250 favorite against a 46 year old guy who is 1-1?
Well, for starters, don’t expect the Chavez vs Silva betting line to change much from here (April 20) until the time of the fight.
People give Sliva’s MMA talents a little too much credibility. Yes, as mixed martial artist Anderson Silva the hitting accuracy, knockout power, strong jab, and counter strikes made him pretty dangerous against grapplers and Ben Askrens of combat sports. And his footwork, for a mixed martial artist, was pretty good too. But, again, he looked cunning against guys with no legitimate boxing experience.
As a 59-game professional boxing veteran, there isn’t much that Chavez Jr hasn’t seen in the ring. On the other hand, and despite Anderson’s long MMA career, there are a lot of things he’s never been exposed to in the ring.
Silva, in a boxing match, has never faced anyone near the level of Chavez Jr – even today’s diminished version of Julio.
Combine that with Julio’s 11-year-old advantage and the fact that he’s probably still the lesser of the two and it’s hard to see how Silva can win.
… Where is it?
Here is the alluring part….
Anderson Silva loves boxing. He had his first pro boxing fight in 1998 and always wanted to box. For most of the previous decade and before starting to lose, Silva tried to strike a deal to face boxing legend Roy Jones Jr, but was under contract with the UFC who was not on the point of letting MMA’s top star get tangled up with an over-the-hill Jones in his forties who would have chopped him to pieces again.
We know Silva has waited a long time to enter the boxing ring and face a name opponent. And we can also assume that Silva, as a boxing fan and top mixed martial artist, studied hundreds of hours of boxing video. Therefore, don’t expect him to look like Ben Askren against Jake Paul from a distance last week.
Anderson will be fit, motivated and excited when he steps into the ring against Chavez Jr – Can the same be said of Julio?
For all intents and purposes, this should be an easy payday and ‘gift’ for Chavez, but his state of mind and preparedness shouldn’t be indicative of it.
But what is it?
We’ve seen him get a little lazy in training… we’ve seen him struggle or not gain weight a few times… And we’ve seen him get a bit sloppy in the ring, especially since his loss to Sergio Martinez in 2012.
If Silva enters the fight motivated and well-trained and Chavez is just there for a paycheck and hasn’t taken the fight seriously, things could get a “little” interesting.
Granted, even a warped, unconcentrated Chavez should beat a fit and determined Silva, but Anderson is a legendary mixed martial artist and proven winner, and it’s boxing and things can change in the ring in an instant.
Could Silva time a sloppy Chavez and end things with a combination? Could Silva counter and overtake Chavez with a tedder or two?
Chavez’s defense has been porous lately, so we’d expect him to give Silva more than a few windows of opportunity to land some hard knocks.
If you are Anderson Silva your best bet is to win via a Quick and sudden knockoutwhether it’s creating a trap or taking advantage of one of those windows of opportunity that Julio will give you.
FightSaga treat: Anderson Silva is 34-11-0-1NC in MMA. See his long list of MMA complements.
In the best-case scenario for Silva, a knockout is highly unlikely but not entirely out of the question given Anderson’s perceived understanding of boxing and range and distance, his athleticism and perceived natural power, and the potential. for Julio to become sloppy.
Julio should win easily but I still want to see him. How good or bad will Silva be at boxing? Can he make Chavez Jr fight let alone do the unthinkable?
Please share your thoughts on Anderson odds and Chavez vs Silva odds.